710 
abpw10 pgtw 030600
msgid/genadmin/navmarfcstcen Pearl Harbor hi/jtwc//
subj/significant tropical weather advisory for the western and
/South Pacific oceans/030600z-040600zdec2008//
rmks/
1. Western North Pacific area (180 to Malay Peninsula):
   a. Tropical cyclone summary: none.
   B. Tropical disturbance summary:
      (1) the area of convection previously located near 7.6n 112.6e
is now located near 6.5n 110.7e, approximately 355 nm southeast of
Ho Chi Minh, Vietnam. Animated multispectral satellite imagery and a
021826 AMSR-E image indicate a weakening low-level circulation
center (LLCC) displaced southeast of persistent, increasingly
disorganized deep convection. Recent scatterometer data depicts a
shear line with convergent flow north and northwest of the LLCC,
which is continuing to produce deep convective bursts, with a
defined 10-15 knot LLCC south. The LLCC appears to be tracking west-
southwestward while convection is shearing westward to northwestward
under strong diffluent upper-level flow. The system has not
consolidated as much as previously anticipated with an increasingly
disorganized signature. However, deep convection is still expected
to form along the shear line due to strong linear convergence and
good diffluence aloft. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated
at 12-18 knots. Minimum sea level pressure is estimated to be near
1006 mb. Based on the lack of a significant LLCC signature on
satellite imagery as well as the displaced center, the potential
for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the
next 24 hours remains poor.
      (2) no other suspect areas.
2. South Pacific area (west coast of South America to 135 east):
   a. Tropical cyclone summary: none.
   B. Tropical disturbance summary: none.
Forecast team: Delta//

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